Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.004393 0.004626 0.004866 0.005132 0.005418 0.005717 0.006054
2025-08-24 0.003974 0.004317 0.004685 0.005111 0.005593 0.006122 0.006753
2025-08-31 0.003700 0.004102 0.004545 0.005075 0.005694 0.006399 0.007272
2025-09-07 0.003471 0.003909 0.004403 0.005006 0.005731 0.006582 0.007668
2025-09-14 0.003280 0.003741 0.004272 0.004934 0.005747 0.006725 0.008009
2025-09-21 0.003159 0.003647 0.004217 0.004941 0.005851 0.006971 0.008483
2025-09-28 0.002970 0.003459 0.004038 0.004785 0.005737 0.006932 0.008582
2025-10-05 0.002876 0.003381 0.003987 0.004781 0.005812 0.007132 0.008998
2025-10-12 0.002831 0.003360 0.004004 0.004861 0.005995 0.007478 0.009628
2025-10-19 0.002737 0.003273 0.003934 0.004823 0.006018 0.007608 0.009963
2025-10-26 0.002655 0.003198 0.003874 0.004795 0.006050 0.007749 0.010317
2025-11-02 0.002577 0.003124 0.003812 0.004761 0.006071 0.007872 0.010649
2025-11-09 0.002549 0.003115 0.003835 0.004842 0.006255 0.008237 0.011368
2025-11-16 0.002483 0.003054 0.003787 0.004824 0.006298 0.008400 0.011790
2025-11-23 0.002416 0.002989 0.003731 0.004790 0.006317 0.008526 0.012160
2025-11-30 0.002342 0.002912 0.003655 0.004727 0.006288 0.008578 0.012411
2025-12-07 0.002270 0.002836 0.003580 0.004660 0.006250 0.008613 0.012633
2025-12-14 0.002229 0.002801 0.003557 0.004667 0.006321 0.008816 0.013148
2025-12-21 0.002137 0.002693 0.003432 0.004522 0.006158 0.008646 0.013014
2025-12-28 0.002098 0.002657 0.003405 0.004519 0.006208 0.008815 0.013476
2026-01-04 0.002087 0.002659 0.003431 0.004593 0.006380 0.009185 0.014320
2026-01-11 0.002041 0.002610 0.003384 0.004558 0.006380 0.009274 0.014661
2026-01-18 0.002000 0.002568 0.003345 0.004532 0.006392 0.009384 0.015046